Accuracy contract
80% interval coverage
A hit means the mature result lands between the forecast floor and upside. Exact-view guessing is not the contract.
Waiting for mature outcomes.
NORTH STAR NETWORK · FORECAST CONTROL
Prediction Lab
Predict every post. Grade every result. Let each page's proven strength raise the niche.
Compounding loop
Prediction → result → correction
Every published slug keeps its original forecast. At 24h, actual reach grades it. Error and interval coverage then recalibrate the next cohort.
Scale guardrail
Proof earns cadence
Forecasts remain shadow-only until at least 30 mature posts and ≥70% floor coverage. Cadence promotion uses sustained performance, not one viral post.
Network strength exchange
What each page contributes
These are proven source mechanisms already found across the network. They transfer as mechanisms, then get rewritten to preserve each page's niche and voice.
Cadence graduation
New pages establish the floor, then earn the next rung
12/day · Establish floor
Minimum launch cadence. Collect enough outcomes to learn the page.
18/day · Stable
7-day delivery ≥90%, no suppression signal, floor performance stable.
36/day · Proven
20+ mature predictions, ≥80% interval coverage, creative efficiency holds.
72/day · Dominant
Bank runway, token health, quality contracts and reach efficiency all remain green.
Per-niche prediction desk
Good, bad and still learning
Every predicted post
Forecast compared with actual
| Page / post | Confidence | Floor | Expected | Upside | 24h actual | Grade | Error |
|---|